Hôtel Mont Gabriel. Sainte-Adèle, Quebec, Canada
Paper #11, originally scheduled for Monday, 22 September (1350: Moist waves and mesovortices in a model simulation of Katrina (2005). Shuguang Wang (Texas A&M University), Timothy J Dunkerton and Fuqing Zhang), will now be given on Thursday, 25 September at 1450.
Paper #38, originally scheduled for Wednesday, 24 September (1330: Ensemble forecasting of “Superstorm '93”: Potential intensity and recurrence interval. Robert Fovell and Peter Dailey (UCLA)), will now be given on Thursday, 25 September at 0830.
Paper #43, originally scheduled for Thursday, 25 September (0830: Recurving eastern north Pacific tropical cyclones. Kristen L. Corbosiero (UCLA), Michael Dickinson, and Lance F. Bosart), will now be given on Wednesday, 24 September at 1330.
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0840: Seasonal frequency of fronts and surface baroclinic zones in the Great Lakes region. Eric Hoffman (Plymouth State University), Melissa Payer, and Neil Laird.
Presentation 0900: Why do cold fronts move faster than warm fronts? David M. Schultz (University of Helsinki) and Sergej Zilitinkevich.
Presentation 0920: Discrete frontal propagation over the Sierra Nevada and Great Basin. W. James Steenburgh and Colby R. Neuman (University of Utah).
Presentation 0940: Mechanisms of Great Basin frontogenesis. Gregory L. West, William Y. Y. Cheng, and W. James Steenburgh (University of Utah).
Presentation 1000: Modeling of a narrow cold frontal rainband to assess the mechanisms responsible for the core-gap structure. Daniel Alrick (University of Washington) and Mark T. Stoelinga.
Presentation 1020-1040: Break.
1040: Lower stratospheric frontal development and its relationship to tropopause deformation. Andrea A. Lang and Jonathan E. Martin (University of Wisconsin-Madison).
Presentation 1100: A multisensor, meso- and microscale analysis of an intense surface cold front in the central United States. Daniel Hartung (University of Wisconsin-Madison), Jonathan E. Martin, Jason Otkin, David Turner, and Wayne Feltz.
Presentation 1120: The myth of the leading edge. Robert A. Cohen (East Stroudsburg University).
Presentation 1140: Warm seclusion extratropical cyclones. Ryan N. Maue (Florida State University).
Presentation 1200-1330: Lunch.
1330: Spontaneous balance adjustment in gravity wave generation. Fuqing Zhang (Pennsylvania State University) and Shuguang Wang.
Presentation 1350: Moist waves and mesovortices in a model simulation of Katrina (2005). Shuguang Wang (Texas A&M University), Timothy J Dunkerton and Fuqing Zhang.
Presentation 1410: The mighty misocyclone: Impacts on fronts of all scales. Yvette P. Richardson (Pennsylvania State University).
Presentation 1430: Vortex lines observed within the low-level mesocyclones of supercells and what they might tell us about tornadogenesis. Paul Markowski (Pennsylvania State University).
Presentation
2030: Variations in the details of cold frontal passages as revealed by surface mesonetwork data. Charles A. Doswell III (Cooperative Institute for Mesoscale Meteorological Studies).
Presentation 2130: Discussion.
0830: Anatomy of a cyclone: A study of the forcing and evolution of precipitation associated with a winter storm in Oklahoma on 29-30 November 2006. Jana Lesak Houser and Howard Bluestein (University of Oklahoma).
Presentation 0850: Can we forecast flooding events in the UK? Tim Hewson (ECMWF).
Presentation 0910: An East Coast winter storm precipitation climatology. Nicholas J. Frankoski and Arthur T. DeGaetano (Cornell University).
Presentation 0930: Examining the influence of antecedent soil moisture in numerical simulations of the 27-28 June 2006 rainfall event in Pennsylvania and New York. Stephen Jessup and Stephen Colucci (Cornell University).
Presentation 0950: Quasi-Stationary, Extreme-Rain-Producing Convective Systems Associated with Midlevel Cyclonic Circulations. Russ S. Schumacher and Richard H. Johnson (Colorado State University).
Presentation 1010-1030: Break.
1030: Storms on the rock: Synoptic-scale characteristics and precursors of extreme cool-season precipitation events at St. John's, Newfoundland. Shawn M. Milrad, E. H. Atallah and J. R. Gyakum (McGill University).
Presentation 1050: Evolution of an Arctic “bomb”: Impacts of atmosphere-ocean-ice coupled dynamics. Lujun Zhang (Nanjing University), William Perrie and Zhenxia Long.
Presentation 1110: Robber storms: Does convection south of the baroclinic zone reduce cyclone precipitation production? Bill Borghoff and Paul J. Roebber (University of Wisconsin at Milwaukee).
Presentation 1130: A contribution to the problem of coupling in the midlatitudes: Daily SST analyses from ships and buoys. Rick Danielson (Dalhousie University).
Presentation 1215-1330: Lunch.
1330: Kona low genesis: Upstream precursors and downstream development. Rich Moore (Institute for Atmospheric and Climate Science).
Presentation 1350: Impacts of waves and sea spray on Hurricane Juan. Lujun Zhang, and William Perrie (Nanjing University).
Presentation 1410: A severe weather outbreak associated with a Great Lakes cutoff cyclone. Nicholas D. Metz and Lance F. Bosart (University at Albany/SUNY).
Presentation 1430: A look at hurricane force extratropical cyclones. Joseph M. Sienkiewicz and Michael J. Brennan (NOAA/NWS/NCEP).
Presentation
2030: The storm track of March 1843. John W. Nielsen-Gammon and Brent McRoberts (Texas A&M University).
Presentation 2130: Discussion.
0830: Mediterranean lee cyclogenesis. Ron McTaggart-Cowan (Meteorological Service of Canada) and Thomas J. Galarneau Jr.
Presentation 0850: Investigation of surface wind channeling within the St. Lawrence River Valley. Marco L. Carrera (Environment Canada), John R. Gyakum and Charles A. Lin.
Presentation 0910: A comparison of model and observed turbulent kinetic energy within coastal barrier jets forced by landfalling cyclones. Joseph B. Olson and John M. Brown (NOAA/ERL).
Presentation
1030: Hemispheric evolution and origin of extratropical cyclone errors within NCEP operational models. Brian A. Colle and Michael E. Charles (Stony Brook University / SUNY).
Presentation 1050: Predictability associated with interactions between recurving west Pacific tropical cyclones and the extratropical large-scale flow. Heather M. Archambault, Lance F. Bosart, and Daniel Keyser (University at Albany/SUNY).
Presentation 1110: Dynamics and predictability of Hurricane Humberto (2007) revealed from cloud-resolving ensemble data assimilation and prediction with Doppler radar observations. Jason Sippel and Fuqing Zhang (Texas A&M University).
Presentation 1130: Comparison of two operational ensemble systems in the prediction of a Pacific Northwest windstorm. Brian Ancell (University of Washington).
Presentation 1150: Informal presentation of Hurricane Ike impacts, provided by Fred Carr.
Presentation 1200-1330: Lunch.
1330: Ensemble forecasting of “Superstorm '93”: Potential intensity and recurrence interval. Robert Fovell and Peter Dailey (UCLA).
Presentation
1350: Observational analysis and numerical simulation of the inland evolution of Tropical Storm Erin (2007). Michael J. Brennan and Norman W. Junker (HPC).
Presentation 1410: Potential vorticity streamers and tropical cyclogenesis during the 2007 North Atlantic hurricane season. Thomas J. Galarneau Jr., and Lance F. Bosart (University at Albany/SUNY).
Presentation 1430: The effects of deep convection on tropical cyclone development. Chanh Q. Kieu, and Da-Lin Zhang (University of Maryland).
Presentation
2030: Non-baroclinic inland rejuvenation of tropical cyclones. Kerry Emanuel (
MIT).
Presentation 2130: Discussion.
0830: Recurving eastern north Pacific tropical cyclones. Kristen L. Corbosiero (UCLA), Michael Dickinson, and Lance F. Bosart.
Presentation 0850: Tropical Cyclone intensity and track sensitivities to various cumulus and microphysics parameterizations using the WRF-ARW model. Nicholas P. Bassill (UW-Madison).
Presentation 0910: Will a hurricane become stronger in finer resolution numerical models?- Results from Large Eddy Simulations. Yongsheng Chen (MMM/NCAR), R. Rotunno, C. Davis, W. Wang, J. Dudhia, and G. Holland.
Presentation 0930: 46.Intermediate and high resolution simulations of the transition of a tropical wave critical layer to a tropical depression. Michael T. Montgomery (Naval Postgraduate School), Zhuo Wang, and Timothy J. Dunkerton.
0950: Genesis of Hurricane Dolly (2008). Juan Fang (Nanjing University) and Fuqing Zhang.
1010: Open discussion.
1030-1050: Break.
1050: Vertical variations in the intensity and the tilt with height of cyclones in the central U. S. from the perspective of Doppler wind profiler data. Howard B. Bluestein (University of Oklahoma).
For presentation, please contact hblue@ou.edu 1110: Stratospheric forcing of mid-tropospheric blocking anticyclogenesis. Stephen J. Colucci (Cornell University).
Presentation 1130: The counter-propagating Rossby Wave perspective on baroclinic instability and its relevance to the atmosphere. John Methven (University of Reading), Hylke de Vries, Tom Frame Paul Berrisford, Brian J. Hoskins, Eyal Heifetz and Craig Bishop.
Presentation 1200-1330: Lunch.
1330: The structure and dynamics of tropopause polar vortices. Steven M. Cavallo, and Gregory J. Hakim (University of Washington).
Presentation 1350: The development of potential vorticity intrusions over the tropical North Atlantic. P. Knippertz (Johannes Gutenberg University), L. Fröhlich and F. Meier.
Presentation 1410: Effect of spatial variations in baroclinicity fields on the life cycles of synoptic eddies: Implications for the large-scale atmospheric circulation. Gwendal Rivière (CNRM/GAME, CNRS and Météo-France, Toulouse, France).
Presentation 1430: A quasi-geostrophic potential vorticity view of the structure and development of African easterly waves. Daniel R. Chavas and Michael C. Morgan (University of Wisconsin - Madison).
Presentation
0850: Weather regimes and forecast errors in the Pacific Northwest. Lynn McMurdie and Joe Casola (University of Washington).
Presentation 0910: A climatology of mesoscale band formation and evolution within Northeast U.S. cyclones. David R. Novak (NOAA/NWS) and Brian A. Colle.
Presentation 0930: Synoptic-slimatology of episodic, sub-seasonal retractions of the Pacific Jet. Sharon Jaffe, Jonathan E. Martin and Daniel J. Vimont (University of Wisconsin-Madison).
Presentation 0950: Relationships between large-scale regime transitions and major cool-season precipitation events in the Northeast U.S. Daniel Keyser, Heather M. Archambault, and Lance F. Bosart (University at Albany/ SUNY).
Presentation 1010-1030: Break.
